电力需求侧管理2017，Vol.19Issue(1)：22-28,7.DOI:10.3969/j.issn.1009-1831.2017.01.007
分时电价下大用户概率响应建模研究
Research on modeling of large users probability response based on TOU price
摘要
Abstract
A clustering method for large user load based on the characteristics of electricity is proposed. Then the demand response model of the large user is divided into the load reference component part and the load response component part. A short term load forecasting method based on multivariate time series reconstruction is used to get the user's load reference component. On the basis of the demand price theory, the load probability model of the single large user response TOU price is obtained by the response of the actual data. Matlab is used to simulate the actual data of Nanjing area. The example shows that the model can well reflect the situation of the large user's response for TOU price. which provides scientific basis formulating strategy for TOU price.关键词
分时电价/大用户/电价响应/用户负荷聚类/概率模型Key words
TOU price/large user/electricity price response/user clustering/probability model分类
信息技术与安全科学引用本文复制引用
宁艺飞,陈星莺,颜庆国,徐石明,廖迎晨..分时电价下大用户概率响应建模研究[J].电力需求侧管理,2017,19(1):22-28,7.基金项目
国家自然科学基金项目(51577051),国家电网公司科技项目(SGJS0000YXJS1501044) （51577051）
