电力系统及其自动化学报2017，Vol.29Issue(2)：121-128,8.DOI:10.3969/j.issn.1003-8930.2017.02.020
面向主动响应和售电市场的主动配电系统负荷预测
Load Forecast of Active Distribution System Based on Active Response and Electricity Market
刘孝杰 1苏小林 1阎晓霞 1吴富杰 2王佳伟2
作者信息
- 1. 山西大学电力工程系,太原 030013
- 2. 国网山西省电力公司,太原 030001
- 折叠
摘要
Abstract
Along with the increase of generalized demand response resources in distribution system and the gradual open up of electricity market,the load demand and load characteristics of power grid change accordingly,which will affect the accuracy of traditional load forecasting methods. In this paper,various factors leading to the differentiation response of users are analyzed,and a fine load forecasting method with a multilayer structure of active distribution system is pro-posed by considering the influences of active response and electricity market. On the basis of response elasticity matrix which can accurately identify the response mode of users,a response elasticity matrix based load forecasting model opti-mized by genetic algorithm is established. The calculation results of a case study demonstrate the effectiveness of the pro-posed forecasting method. Moreover,several indexes which may have influences on the forecasting accuracy,as well as the corresponding selection methods for parameters to ensure a higher forecasting accuracy,are analyzed.关键词
主动配电系统/主动响应/负荷预测/弹性矩阵/遗传算法Key words
active distribution system/active response/load forecast/elasticity matrix/genetic algorithm分类
信息技术与安全科学引用本文复制引用
刘孝杰,苏小林,阎晓霞,吴富杰,王佳伟..面向主动响应和售电市场的主动配电系统负荷预测[J].电力系统及其自动化学报,2017,29(2):121-128,8.
