山东农业大学学报（自然科学版）2017，Vol.48Issue(1)：139-145,7.DOI:10.3969/j.issn.1000-2324.2017.01.028
江苏省县域产业结构的时空演变及影响因素分析
The Analysis on the Spatial-temporal Evolution of County Industrial Structure and Influence Factors in Jiangsu Province
摘要
Abstract
Utilizing the value-added secondary and tertiary industries and GDP of the 61 counties within Jiangsu Province (JSP) from 1994 to 2014 and based on Markov chains and geographical weighted regression (GWR), this research constructed the Industrial Structure Index (ISI) and Markov transition probability matrix to analyze the spatial-temporal evolution of JSP's industrial structure and affecting factors. The results are as followings. (1)There are two convergence clubs:the first one has an uptrend to the high level and the other goes down to the low level. (2) The ISI of JSP at country level has been optimized increasingly and the ISIs of the three regions keep presenting the rank ordering as the Southern JSP> the Middle JSP> the Northern JSP. The Southern JSP remains the superior in industrial structure as time goes, but that of the Middle JSP and Northern JSP change obviously and frequently. (3) The five socio-economic factors have different effects on the industrial structure of each country. Foreign direct investment index (FDI), technology level, transportation accessibility are positively and common correlated with the industrial structure of the countries and the consumer structure, geographical location are negatively correlated with them in general.关键词
产业结构/时空演变/影响因素Key words
Industrial structure/spatial-temporal evolution/influence factor分类
管理科学引用本文复制引用
纪小美,付业勤..江苏省县域产业结构的时空演变及影响因素分析[J].山东农业大学学报（自然科学版）,2017,48(1):139-145,7.基金项目
国家自然科学基金项目:基于可达性分析的旅游景点空间格局演变研究(41101107) （41101107）
海南省哲学社会科学规划课题:旅游舆情危机事件对海南旅游地形象感知的影响及行为意向研究(HNSK(QN)15-15) （HNSK(QN）
海南省高等学校科学研究项目:旅游网络舆情危机感知及其对旅游地形象的影响机理研究:以海南为例(Hnky2015-17) （Hnky2015-17）
海南省级重点培育学科(地理学)基金 （地理学）
海南省拟建博士点地理学学科建设基金 （）
