水科学进展2017，Vol.28Issue(1)：140-148,9.DOI:10.14042/j.cnki.32.1309.2017.01.016
溃坝应急撤离研究与实践综述
Overview on research and practice of dam failure emergency evacuation
摘要
Abstract
Technical theory of emergency evacuation during dam failure is crucial for making EPP (Emergency Preparation Plans) and guiding emergency evacuation.Currently,relevant researches mainly focus on analyzing dam failure evacuation factors,overlay analysis on flood,population and transfer paths and life loss statistics.However,due to insufficient basic data of evacuation,ambiguous crossfeed mechanism of ternary coupling of environments,surface features and people and superficial study on warning time,development of dam failure evacuation theory and its practice are quite limited.Through overview of the studies on technical theories of dam failure evacuation and corresponding practice in recent decades,summarizing practices of dam failure emergency evacuation at home and abroad as well as research results in influence factors,progress simulation and EPP evaluation and studying the concepts of warning time and critical warning time,future development of dam failure evacuation is analyzed.To sum up,efforts should be made in reproducing evacuation progress of typical dam failure cases and revealing dynamic characteristics of evacuation system during dam failure on the basis of studies on human behavior and social organization mechanism,thereby to explore quantitative relation between critical warning time and life losses in the case of dam failure and fa cilitate development and application of technical theories of dam failure evacuation.关键词
溃坝/应急撤离/预警时间/系统动力学特征Key words
dam failure/emergency evacuation/warning time/system dynamic characteristics分类
建筑与水利引用本文复制引用
张士辰,王晓航,厉丹丹,吉立..溃坝应急撤离研究与实践综述[J].水科学进展,2017,28(1):140-148,9.基金项目
国家自然科学基金资助项目(41671504 （）
51509156) （）
The study is financially supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China (No.41671504 （）
No.51509156). （）
