信息与控制2016，Vol.45Issue(3)：272-277,6.DOI:10.13976/j.cnki.xk.2016.0272
基于概率盒理论的电网规划方案中指标不确定性建模
Index Uncertainty Modeling in Grid Planning Based on Probability Box Theory
摘要
Abstract
As grid planning requirements are increasingly refined,the establishment of scientific and reliable grid evaluation indicators has become a matter of urgency.Previous research has mainly focused on the optimization problem of decision indicator systems after the indicators have been obtained,and has ignored the uncertainty of the indicators,which affect the reliability and economy of the entire grid plan.To consider the uncertainty of the indicators,we introduce the superiority of the probability box in dealing with uncertain information,and then use the probability box to model different types of indicators.Finally,using the uncertainty associated with obtaining load indicators as an example,we process sample data by constructing a probability box and by the traditional method,and compare our results with those of the support-vector-machine modeling method.The result shows that the modeling method based on probability theory has great significance for improving decision-making planning.关键词
电网规划/不确定性/概率盒建模Key words
grid planning/uncertainty/probability box modeling分类
信息技术与安全科学引用本文复制引用
黄心,王清心,丁家满..基于概率盒理论的电网规划方案中指标不确定性建模[J].信息与控制,2016,45(3):272-277,6.基金项目
国家自然科学基金资助项目(51467007) （51467007）
云南省应用基础研究计划资助项目(2013FZ020) （2013FZ020）
