中国工程科学2017，Vol.19Issue(1)：80-86,7.DOI:10.15302/J-SSCAE-2017.01.012
中国环境工程科技2035技术预见研究
Technology Foresight Research on China's Environmental Engineering Science and Technology to 2035
摘要
Abstract
The Delphi method is the most common method of technology foresight,which is a significant basis for establishing development strategies and policies of science and technology.This study proposes 45 alternative technologies in the field of environmental engineering science and technology through a literature survey,expels' advice,and discussion meetings.These technologies relate to air pollution prevention and control;water pollution prevention and control;soil pollution prevention and control;solid waste pollution prevention,control,and utilization;ecological protection and restoration;environmental monitoring,early warning,and risk control;resource utilization and cleaner production.Based on results that were obtained according to the Delphi method,this research analyzes the realization time,R&D level,and restriction factors for the key technologies,common technologies,and disruptive technologies that were determined for 2035.This study provides a reference for establishing development strategies and objectives for China's environmental engineering science and technology over the next 20 years.关键词
环境工程科技/技术预见/德尔菲调查/关键技术/共性技术/颠覆性技术Key words
environmental engineering science and technology/technology foresight/Delphi method/key technology/common technology/disruptive technology分类
资源环境引用本文复制引用
但智钢,史菲菲,王志增,王辉锋,张裴雷,郝吉明,段宁..中国环境工程科技2035技术预见研究[J].中国工程科学,2017,19(1):80-86,7.基金项目
中国工程院咨询项目“中国工程科技2035发展战略研究”(2015-ZD-14) （2015-ZD-14）
