中国工程科学2017，Vol.19Issue(1)：96-102,7.DOI:10.15302/J-SSCAE-2017.01.014
中国工程科技医药卫生与人口健康领域2035技术预见研究
Technology Foresight Research on China's Medical and Population Health Engineering Science and Technology to 2035
摘要
Abstract
Key technology foresight in the fields of medical and population health is very important to China's population health,economy,and social development.Such foresight permits technological development trends in medical and population health to be grasped,thereby meeting major national strategic demands.In this paper,a list of alternative technologies is put forvard on the basis of technology foresight,bibliometrics,and patent analysis (both domestic and international).A Delphi investigation of the list was carried out among experts in the fields of medical technology and medical industry all over the country.A total of 10 major key technologies,10 major common technologies,and 10 major disruptive technologies were put forward,by analyzing the results of the Delphi investigation in combination with the experts' judgment.The realization time,development level,and limiting factors of these major technologies were also analyzed.The results of this study provide a scientific basis for the raising of major projects in the fields of medical and population health.关键词
医药卫生/人口健康/2035/德尔菲调查/技术预见Key words
medical health/population health/2035/Delphi method/technology foresight分类
医药卫生引用本文复制引用
孙殿军,孙长颢,张凤民,丛斌,乔杰,高彦辉,张勇,吴立军,金焰..中国工程科技医药卫生与人口健康领域2035技术预见研究[J].中国工程科学,2017,19(1):96-102,7.基金项目
中国工程院咨询项目“中国工程科技2035发展战略研究”(2015-ZD-14) （2015-ZD-14）
