国际地震动态Issue(3)：3-8,6.DOI:10.3969/j.issn.0235-4975.2017.03.003
CSEP混合地震预测模型研究进展及启示意义
The latest research and implication of hybrid earthquake forecasting models
摘要
Abstract
Researches on the basis of the framework of Collaboratory for the Study of Earthquake Predictability (CSEP) and the Operational Earthquake Forecasting (OEF) lead to a significant development for earthquake forecasting in recent years.On the foundation of these results, a concept of model based on the combination of different time-varying models, called hybrid model, was proposed and has been developed rapidly in New Zealand, Italy and other areas.Because of the obvious advantages of the hybrid model compared with the single forecasting model in many cases, its development trend and the operational tactics may provide a technical reference for the long-term development of the earthquake prediction in China.关键词
地震预测/混合模型/单个模型/地震可预测性研究计划(CSEP)/可操作的地震预测(OEF)Key words
earthquake prediction/hybrid model/single model/Collaboratory for the Study of Earthquake Predictability (CSEP)/Operational Earthquake Forecasting (OEF)分类
天文与地球科学引用本文复制引用
张盛峰,张永仙,蒋长胜..CSEP混合地震预测模型研究进展及启示意义[J].国际地震动态,2017,(3):3-8,6.基金项目
中国地震局“监测预报改革设计研究——地震预测预报20年发展设计”专项资助. （）
