经济与管理研究2017，Vol.38Issue(4)：16-24,9.DOI:10.13502/j.cnki.issn1000-7636.2017.04.002
"自贸区驱动"能否驱动中国经济增长?——基于贸易福利视角的理论机制与实证论证
Could FTAs-driven Promote China's Economic Growth?—Theoretical Mechanism and Empirical Demonstration Based on Trade and Welfare
摘要
Abstract
The dynamic mechanism of China's economic growth is transferring from the factors-driven to the innovation-driven in the new normal.Based on the thinking of "innovation-driven",the paper,using theoretical mechanism and empirical methods,demonstrates the FTAs-driven of economic growth from the angle of trade and welfare.The results show that the theoretical basis of the FTAs-driven is counteracting each other between trade creation and trade diversion,consumer surplus and producer surplus,as well as tariff income;FTAs can drive economic growth,by having positive trade effects and removing trade barriers,namely,trade dividends,and obtaining production gains,consumption gains and increasing the diversity of traded goods,namely,welfare effects.The results of GTAP simulation show that FTAs could drive the trade and welfare growth of China,with positive economic growth effects;whether horizontal or vertical comparison,there is a positive linkage change between the FTAs-driven,trade growth and welfare growth.All in all,the FTAs-driven,as a kind of the innovation-driven,can drive economic growth.关键词
自贸区驱动/经济增长/GTAP/贸易效应/福利效应Key words
FTAs-driven/economic growth/global trade analysis project(GTAP)/trade effect/welfare effect分类
管理科学引用本文复制引用
赵亮.."自贸区驱动"能否驱动中国经济增长?——基于贸易福利视角的理论机制与实证论证[J].经济与管理研究,2017,38(4):16-24,9.基金项目
江西省高校人文社会科学研究青年项目"我国经济增长的'自贸区驱动'研究:理论与实证"(JJ1552) （JJ1552）
