交通运输工程与信息学报2017，Vol.15Issue(1)：76-82,7.DOI:10.3969/j.issn.1672-4747.2017.01.012
TOD模式下城市轨道交通诱增客流预测研究
Prediction of Induced Passenger Flow in Urban Rail Transit Under TOD Mode
张姣 1吕红霞 2刘晓伟 3王芙蓉 1谢亮2
作者信息
- 1. 西南交通大学,交通运输与物流学院,成都610031
- 2. 西南交通大学,全国铁路列车运行图编制研发培训中心,成都610031
- 3. 综合交通运输智能化国家地方联合工程实验室,成都610031
- 折叠
摘要
Abstract
By analyzing the mechanism of induced passenger flow and considering the defects of traditional prediction methods about induced passenger flow in urban rail transit under SOD mode,a prediction method about induced passenger flow in urban rail transit under TOD mode was put forward.Then,from the perspective of improving traffic conditions,the presence or absence comparison method was presented to predict the initial stage of induced passenger flow.Then,a growth curve model based on transit-oriented development was constructed.Finally,taking Batong subway in Beijing as an example under TOD mode,and the results show that the difference between the predicted result and the actual one is 0.9,which is more accurate than the result of the traditional method prediction of induced passenger flow under SOD mode.关键词
诱增客流/TOD模式/有无项目对比法/生长曲线法Key words
Induced passenger flow/TOD mode/the presence or absence comparison method/growth curve分类
交通工程引用本文复制引用
张姣,吕红霞,刘晓伟,王芙蓉,谢亮..TOD模式下城市轨道交通诱增客流预测研究[J].交通运输工程与信息学报,2017,15(1):76-82,7.
