水利经济2017，Vol.35Issue(2)：11-15,30,75,7.DOI:10.3880/j.issn.10039511.2017.02.003
基于系统动力学的重大水利工程项目决策社会稳定风险评估有效性分析
Effectiveness analysis of risk assessment of social stability of large-scale water conservancy projects based on system dynamics
摘要
Abstract
The synergic driving model for effectiveness of risk assessment of social stability of decision-making of large-scale water conservancy projects is established from three aspects of government support, public participation and third-party participation. The causality diagram including the sub-modules of government support, public participation and third-party participation is formulated based on the system dynamics. The synergistic effects between the external factors of the government, the public, the third party and the internal factors of assessment extent, assessment depth, assessment validity are stated, and their influences on the effectiveness of risk assessment of social stability of decision-making of large-scale water conservancy projects are illustrated. Finally, some suggestions about how to improve the effectiveness of evaluation are proposed, that is, strengthening of policy security support, implementation of pubic participation, ensuring of third-party participation, improvement of its dependent, scientific and professional characteristics.关键词
重大水利工程项目/社会稳定风险评估/系统动力学Key words
large-scale water conservancy project/risk assessment of social stability/system dynamics分类
管理科学引用本文复制引用
华坚,李晶晶..基于系统动力学的重大水利工程项目决策社会稳定风险评估有效性分析[J].水利经济,2017,35(2):11-15,30,75,7.基金项目
国家社会科学基金(14BSH021) （14BSH021）
