水土保持通报2016，Vol.36Issue(6)：231-239,246,10.DOI:10.13961/j.cnki.stbctb.2016.06.039
京津冀能源消费碳排放与水资源消耗双重分析
Dual-Analysis on Carbon Emissions of Energy Consumption and Water Resource Consumption of Jing-Jin-Ji Region
摘要
Abstract
[Objective] The impacting factors of energy consumption's carbon emissions and water resource consumption were explored,and the change in the future of Jing-Jin-Ji region was analyzed to provide scientific support for making targeted policies.[Methods] Based on the estimation of carbon emissions from energy consumption in the Jing-Jin-Ji region from 2002 to 2012,this study established the factor decomposition models of carbonemissions from energy consumption and water resource consumption.It also set the scenari os analysis model to forecast carbon emissions from energy consumption and water resource consumption in 2020.[Results] (1) Carbonemissions from energy consumption of Jing-Jin-Ji region increased with an aver age annual rate of 8.5％,the accumulation rate was 226.26％.The main emissions was from industry sector,and the followings were transportation and residential life sectors.Water resource consumption was relatively steady in all three industries.(2) Change of per capita wealth was the most positive factor for both CO2 emissions and water resource consumption of Jing-Jin-Ji region.While energy intensity and water intensity were two of the most negative factors,and the followings were industrial structure,per capita water resource consumption,population and carbon emission coefficient.(3) Under all scenarios,CO2 emissions in 2015 and 2020 will increase 553.6 Mt and 819.2 Mt in comparison with the one in 2005,respectively.Water resource consumption will increase 3.36 and 9.97 billion main comparison with the one in 2012.[Conclusion]Water resources consumptions of three major industries in Jing-Jin-Ji region during the study period were relatively stable,which implied that the adjustment of industrial structure and improvement of industrial water use efficiency are the priority for regional water resources management of this region.关键词
京津冀/能源消费碳排放/水资源消耗/因素分解Key words
Jing-Jin-Ji region/carbon emissions from energy consumption/water resource consumption/factor decomposition分类
资源环境引用本文复制引用
檀菲菲,江象君..京津冀能源消费碳排放与水资源消耗双重分析[J].水土保持通报,2016,36(6):231-239,246,10.基金项目
国家自然科学基金项目“基于空间关联和产业代谢的长江经济带可持续发展评价与调控对策”(71603111) （71603111）
江苏省高校自然科学研究面上项目(16KJB610007) （16KJB610007）
江苏高校优势学科建设工程项目 （）
