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基于灰色马尔可夫模型的采煤机生产率的预测

赵丽娟 王建勇 朱煦

华中师范大学学报(自然科学版)2017,Vol.51Issue(2):168-172,5.
华中师范大学学报(自然科学版)2017,Vol.51Issue(2):168-172,5.

基于灰色马尔可夫模型的采煤机生产率的预测

The forecast of shearer productivity based on gray Markov model

赵丽娟 1王建勇 1朱煦2

作者信息

  • 1. 辽宁工程技术大学机械工程学院,辽宁阜新123000
  • 2. 西北轴承有限公司,银川750021
  • 折叠

摘要

Abstract

Productivity is a measure of an important indicator of the shearer performance,which is of important guiding significance for the scientific decision-making and development of coal mining plan.In this paper,index evaluation system of the shearer productivity is established,and forecast to the shearer productivity is carried using grey GM (1,1) model and grey Markov model separately.After comparison it is found that the grey Markov model prediction accuracy and precision are better than GM (1,1) model,especially for data with large volatility and randomness which has the very good fitting and prediction effect.The grey Markov model provides an effective way and method for the prediction assessment of shearer production performance influenced by multiple factors.

关键词

生产率/采煤机/GM(1,1)模型/灰色马尔可夫模型

Key words

productivity/shearer/GM (1,1) model/gray Markov model

分类

矿业与冶金

引用本文复制引用

赵丽娟,王建勇,朱煦..基于灰色马尔可夫模型的采煤机生产率的预测[J].华中师范大学学报(自然科学版),2017,51(2):168-172,5.

基金项目

国家自然科学基金项目(51574140). (51574140)

华中师范大学学报(自然科学版)

OA北大核心CSTPCD

1000-1190

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