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基于提升小波-BP神经网络的光伏阵列短期功率预测

丁坤 丁汉祥 王越 高列 刘振飞

可再生能源2017,Vol.35Issue(4):566-571,6.
可再生能源2017,Vol.35Issue(4):566-571,6.

基于提升小波-BP神经网络的光伏阵列短期功率预测

Short-term power prediction of photovoltaic array based on lifting wavelet transform-BP neural network

丁坤 1丁汉祥 2王越 1高列 1刘振飞1

作者信息

  • 1. 河海大学机电工程学院,江苏常州213022
  • 2. 常州市光伏系统集成与生产装备技重点实验室,江苏常州213022
  • 折叠

摘要

Abstract

The power of the PV array is a Non-stationary random process,influenced greatly by the radiation,temperature as well as uncertain external surroundings.Improving the accuracy of photovoltaic power system short-term prediction,especially the ultra-short-term forecast accuracy,has significant implications for the improving the operation and management efficiency of the photovoltaic power system.This article proposed a slip algorithm about the output of the DC side power,combining a lifting wavelet transform with BP neural network theory,to predict the ultra-shortterm power of the photovoltaic power array.The test results show that the method of ultra-short-term power forecast has good precision,and can be applied to complex weather conditions,such as the sunny,cloudy,rainy days.

关键词

短期功率预测/小波变换/BP神经网络/直流侧功率

Key words

short-term power prediction/wavelet analysis/BP neural network/DC side power

分类

信息技术与安全科学

引用本文复制引用

丁坤,丁汉祥,王越,高列,刘振飞..基于提升小波-BP神经网络的光伏阵列短期功率预测[J].可再生能源,2017,35(4):566-571,6.

基金项目

江苏省自然科学基金(BK20131134) (BK20131134)

光伏科学与技术国家重点实验室开放基金课题(201400035879). (201400035879)

可再生能源

OA北大核心CSTPCD

1671-5292

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