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ENSO事件对红水河龙滩站径流的影响分析

朱麟

水力发电2017,Vol.43Issue(4):74-78,5.
水力发电2017,Vol.43Issue(4):74-78,5.

ENSO事件对红水河龙滩站径流的影响分析

Influence Analysis of ENSO Events on the Runoff of Longtan Dam in Hongshui River

朱麟1

作者信息

  • 1. 龙滩水电开发有限公司龙滩水力发电厂,广西天峨547300
  • 折叠

摘要

Abstract

The multiple ENSO index are used to analvze the influences of El Ni(n)o and La Ni(n)a events on the runoff of Hongshui River.The flood season runoff data (from May to October of year) from 1950 to 1997 of Tian'e Hydrological Station and NCEP/NCAR monthly MEI index are used to analyze the flow law in Longtan Danm of Hongshui River.The results indicate that,(a)the flood flow in Longtan Dam has a high probability to increase if the very strong or strong La Ni(n)a events weaken before or in flood season,and on the contrary,the flood flow has a high probability to decrease;and (b) the total water flows between very strong El Ni(n)o years have a huge different,the relationship between El Ni(n)o events and flow is not always consistent,and the probability of later flood season is high in El Ni(n)o year.

关键词

ENSO事件/影响分析/径流/红水河

Key words

ENSO event/influence analysis/runoff/Hongshui River

分类

天文与地球科学

引用本文复制引用

朱麟..ENSO事件对红水河龙滩站径流的影响分析[J].水力发电,2017,43(4):74-78,5.

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