电力系统及其自动化学报2017，Vol.29Issue(4)：115-121,7.DOI:10.3969/j.issn.1003-8930.2017.04.020
需求响应对电力需求影响的概率模型
Probability Model of the Influence of Demand Response on Electricity Demand
摘要
Abstract
The forecasting and analysis of electricity demand is the basis of power planning,and with the popularization of smart meters and the implementation of demand side management,demand response is playing an increasingly important role in electricity demand.To solve the problem that the conventional assessments on demand response are usually deterministic,the uncertainties of demand response are considered in this paper,and a probability model is proposed for analyzing the influence of demand response on electricity demand.Through the probabilistic analysis of demand response in selected regions,it can be seen that the results can support scalability planning based on the proposed probabilistic method.关键词
需求响应/不确定性/序列运算理论/分布拟合Key words
demand response/uncertainty/sequence operation theory/distribution fitting分类
信息技术与安全科学引用本文复制引用
张振高,王学军,李慧,彭冬,任炳俐,张沛..需求响应对电力需求影响的概率模型[J].电力系统及其自动化学报,2017,29(4):115-121,7.基金项目
国家电网公司科技资助项目(5216A313500N) （5216A313500N）
