火力与指挥控制2017，Vol.42Issue(1)：102-105,4.
基于改进GM(1,1)模型的导弹贮存可靠性预测方法
Forecasting Method of Certain Missile Storage Reliability Based on an Improvement of Grey Model
摘要
Abstract
Considering that the missile system reliability test data have the features of small sample and large random fluctuations.The paper introduces an improvement of grey forecasting model in missile storage reliability.By smoothing the original data sequence,and building GM (1,1)models to residuals updates the forecasting data.Though the analytic results,the methods are better than the original forecasting method,and are regarded of feasibility and high practice value.关键词
可靠性/对数-幂函数变换/GM(1,1)模型/残差修正Key words
reliability/"logarithm function-exponential function" compound transformation/Grey Model(1, 1)/update residuals分类
军事科技引用本文复制引用
戴宗亮,李小兵,吴博文,曹艳..基于改进GM(1,1)模型的导弹贮存可靠性预测方法[J].火力与指挥控制,2017,42(1):102-105,4.基金项目
陕西省自然科学基金资助项目(2012JM8020) （2012JM8020）
