海洋预报2017，Vol.34Issue(2)：43-50,8.DOI:10.11737/j.issn.1003-0239.2017.02.006
马尼拉海沟潜在地震海啸对我国华南沿海危险性研究
Impact of potential tsunami from Manila Trench along the South China coast
摘要
Abstract
Multiple nested grid was applied using COMCOT model to simulate the hypothetical tsunamis triggered by Manila Trench in the South China Sea,and their impacts along the South China coast were assessed.Sensitivity analysis shows that the focal depth of the worst earthquake tsunami scenario is about 33～40 kr.Five earthquake scenarios along the Manila Trench were simulated.Scenarios 2、4 and 5,with the magnitude of Mw8.6、Mw8.8 and Mw9.0,respectively,may reach Ⅲ to Ⅳ tsunami hazard level on the South China coast,causing inundation or serious inundation hazard.关键词
马尼拉海沟/地震海啸/COMCOT模型/危险性分析Key words
Manila Trench/earthquake tsunami/COMCOT model/hazard analysis分类
海洋科学引用本文复制引用
张鑫,毛献忠..马尼拉海沟潜在地震海啸对我国华南沿海危险性研究[J].海洋预报,2017,34(2):43-50,8.基金项目
国家自然科学基金(41176001) （41176001）
深圳市科技项目(GJHS20120702112942334). （GJHS20120702112942334）
