交通信息与安全2017，Vol.35Issue(2)：35-39,58,6.DOI:10.3963/j.issn.1674-4861.2017.02.006
基于对数线性模型的酒后驾驶人的人口特征研究
A Study on Demographics of Drunk Drivers Using a Log-linear Model
摘要
Abstract
A study on the demographics of drunk drivers is conducive to improve the pertinence of traffic safety education.The data of 1 072 drunk drivers concerning four demographic variables, including age, gender, household registration, and educational level, is collected in a city within a one-year period.Afterwards, a log-linear model is developed to analyse the data.The results show that: ① Drunk drivers have significant differences on all the four variables;the male, the elder, the non-local, and the highly educated drivers are more likely to be involved in drunk driving.It finds that the non-local are more involved in drunk driving than the local, which is contrary to current studies and intuitive feelings.Therefore, the local have higher safety awareness than the non-local when it comes to drunk driving;② The interaction effects between two of the four variables are significant (p<0.01);the interaction effects between gender and age, gender and household registration are positive, while the other interaction effects are negative.Educational level adjusts the impacts of age, gender, and household registration.Age adjusts impacts of household registration on drink driving.The adjustment can explain the cause of drunk driving to a certain extent.Finally, based on this study, counter-measures about how to improve traffic safety education on drunk driving are discussed.关键词
交通安全/交通安全宣传/酒后驾驶/人口特征/对数线性模型Key words
traffic safety/pertinence of traffic safety education/drunk driving/demographics/log-linear models分类
交通工程引用本文复制引用
何庆,弯美娜,李洋,高爱霞,王颖..基于对数线性模型的酒后驾驶人的人口特征研究[J].交通信息与安全,2017,35(2):35-39,58,6.基金项目
北京市教委科技计划项目(SQKM201614019001),北京警察学院院级课题(2016KZD15)资助 （SQKM201614019001）
