情报杂志2017，Vol.36Issue(4)：85-92,8.DOI:10.3969/j.issn.1002-1965.2017.04.015
基于转化理论视角的技术成熟度评价指标体系——以混合动力汽车为例
Evaluation Index System of Technology Maturity Based on the Transformation Theory:Taking Hybrid Electric Vehicle as an Example
摘要
Abstract
[Purpose/Significance]As an important indicator to measure development status and future trends of technology, technology maturity can effectively control the risk of technology development and application and has been widely used in technology prediction of national defense, high-tech and strategic emerging industries.[Method/Process]Based on a comprehensive review of the existing evaluation methods and application research of technology maturity, from the transformation theory perspective, a multi-dimension evaluation model is proposed,overcoming the single index defect of previous studies.The ten indicators chosen in the model include the ratios of publishedpapers, patents and citations, the density and efficiency of patent network etc..Then the technology maturity evaluation of hybrid electric vehicle istaken as an example to illustrate application, accuracy and rationalityof the model.[Result/Conclusion]The calculated results show that the hybrid electric vehicle technology has reached its maturity in 2003, and it has entered into a new boom period since 2009 because of the new breakthroughs in scientific research.关键词
技术成熟度/评价指标体系/混合动力汽车Key words
technology maturity/evaluation index system/hybrid electric vehicle分类
管理科学引用本文复制引用
刘建华,孟战,姬俊昌,姜照华..基于转化理论视角的技术成熟度评价指标体系——以混合动力汽车为例[J].情报杂志,2017,36(4):85-92,8.基金项目
国家自然科学基金项目"基于DSGE模型的新能源汽车产业协同创新体系研究"(编号:71540006) （编号:71540006）
河南省科技攻关项目"河南省人口资源环境和谐调控关键技术研究"(编号:132102310528) （编号:132102310528）
河南省科技攻关项目"河南省科技-经济中长期发展规划的模型体系和关键技术研究"(编号:142102310141)研究成果之一. （编号:142102310141）
