青岛大学学报（自然科学版）2017，Vol.30Issue(1)：108-112,5.DOI:10.3969/j.issn.1006-1037.2017.02.21
北京市2008~2012年手足口病传播率及感染力分析
Contact Rate and Force of Infection of Hand-foot-mouth Disease in Beijing During 2008-2012
摘要
Abstract
To study the force of infection and contact rate of hand-foot-mouth disease in Beijing city during 2008-2012.Using the simple catalytic model and the TSIR model, to calculate the force of infection and contact rate.The majority of report cased were among children age 1-4.9 years old.The age groups that had higer force of infection was the groups of age 3-5.9 years old, and 4-4.9 years old had the highest force of infection.The force of infection in Beijing increased during winter wacations, then it decreased or increased in a slower growth rate after school resumed.Children in kindergarten age group have the highest force of infection of HFMD, and the incidence seasonality of HFMD in Beijing due to change contact rate during the winter vacation.关键词
手足口病/人均感染力/传播率/幼儿园年龄组/季节性Key words
hand-foot-mouth disease/force of infection/contact rate/kindergarten age group/seasonal variation分类
医药卫生引用本文复制引用
薛超,赵佳楠,仲连发,赵继军..北京市2008~2012年手足口病传播率及感染力分析[J].青岛大学学报（自然科学版）,2017,30(1):108-112,5.基金项目
国家自然科学基金(批准号:61503207)资助. （批准号:61503207）
