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基于云模型的汉江上游安康市洪水灾害风险评价

石晓静 查小春 刘嘉慧 王光朋

水利水电科技进展2017,Vol.37Issue(3):29-34,48,7.
水利水电科技进展2017,Vol.37Issue(3):29-34,48,7.DOI:10.3880/j.issn.10067647.2017.03.005

基于云模型的汉江上游安康市洪水灾害风险评价

Cloud model-based risk assessment of flood disasters in Ankang City on upper reaches of Hanjiang River

石晓静 1查小春 1刘嘉慧 1王光朋1

作者信息

  • 1. 陕西师范大学旅游与环境学院,陕西 西安 710062
  • 折叠

摘要

Abstract

To improve the risk management of flood disasters, risk assessment of flood disasters of 1983 and 2010 in Ankang City was conducted using the cloud model. Eight typical indexes were selected to establish an assessment index system based on field investigation. The entropy method was used to calculate the index weights, and the cloud model was introduced to obtain the membership degrees of flood risk. Through conversion between the index weights and membership degrees, the levels of flood risk of 2010 and 1983 were obtained by means of the principle of maximum membership. Results show that the level of flood risk of 2010 increased as compared to that of 1983 in Ankang City, but the risk changes were different in some counties. Areas with high flood risk were mainly concentrated in the Hanbin District and Hanyin County, and the sizes of those areas were almost unchanged. Areas with relatively high or low flood risk increased, while, areas with moderate or low flood risk decreased. The conversion between adjacent levels of flood risk is the natural behavior when the flood risk increases.

关键词

洪水灾害/风险评价/云模型/熵权法/安康市

Key words

flood disaster/risk assessment/cloud model/entropy method/Ankang City

分类

天文与地球科学

引用本文复制引用

石晓静,查小春,刘嘉慧,王光朋..基于云模型的汉江上游安康市洪水灾害风险评价[J].水利水电科技进展,2017,37(3):29-34,48,7.

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