铁道标准设计2017，Vol.61Issue(5)：11-15,22,6.DOI:10.13238/j.issn.1004-2954.2017.05.003
加德满都至博克拉铁路客运量预测研究
Study on Forecast of Passenger Volume of Kathmandu to Pokhara Railway
张超1
作者信息
- 1. 中铁工程设计咨询集团有限公司济南设计院,济南 250022
- 折叠
摘要
Abstract
The new railway project from Kathmandu to Pokhara in Nepal is located in the middle of Nepal with 164.395km of total length.The undeveloped areas near this new railway have almost no railway and inadequate base information and survey data of railway.In view of the difficulties mentioned above, this paper addresses the methods of forecast about passenger traffic.According to the characteristics of passenger flow, Nepal is divided into 17 districts and the passenger volume of each is forecasted by four-step method.With reference to the population and tourist flow of now and future of each district, the passenger volume generated in each district is forecasted.The gravity model method is used to get the OD of the total passenger flow, and the Logic model is used to get the OD of the railway passenger flow.Finally the shortest path method is employed in passenger flow assignment so as to obtain the density of regional passenger flow and passenger volume of stations.The forecast of this project may provide references for other similar projects.关键词
尼泊尔加德满都至博克拉铁路/客运量预测/四阶段法/区段客流密度/车站旅客发送量Key words
Nepal Kathmandu-pokhara railway/Forecast of passenger volume/Four-step method/Density of passenger flow/Passenger volume of Station分类
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张超..加德满都至博克拉铁路客运量预测研究[J].铁道标准设计,2017,61(5):11-15,22,6.
