广东电力2017，Vol.30Issue(4)：43-49,7.DOI:10.3969/j.issn.1007-290X.2017.04.008
计及风电预测可靠性的含风电电力系统优化调度模型
Optimized Dispatching Model for Power System with Wind Power Considering Wind Power Forecasting Reliability
摘要
Abstract
In allusion to influence of wind power random on safe and economic operation of the power system, this paper establishes an optimized dispatching model for the power system with wind power on the basis of considering wind power forecasting reliability.It regards actual wind power output as random variable and makes relevance model for historical wind power filed output and its corresponding forecasting value by means of mixed Copula function.After getting forecasting output, it obtains actual output distribution probability of wind power by the relevance model.By using chance constrained programming, it establishes an economic dispatching model for the power system with wind power which can optimize scheduled output of wind power on the premise of ensuring system reliability.Finally, it solves the model by using improved particle swarm optimization algorithm and proves feasibility and validity of this model and algorithm.关键词
混合Copula函数/联合概率模型/机会约束规划/动态经济调度Key words
mixed Copula function/joint probabilistic model/chance constrained programming/dynamic economic dispatching分类
信息技术与安全科学引用本文复制引用
王敏,许建,潘永春..计及风电预测可靠性的含风电电力系统优化调度模型[J].广东电力,2017,30(4):43-49,7.基金项目
中央高校基本科研业务费专项资金资助项目(2012B05914) （2012B05914）
