国际地震动态Issue(4)：4-10,7.DOI:10.3969/j.issn.0253-4975.2017.04.004
关于推进数值地震预测的思考
The roadmap of numerical earthquake prediction in China
摘要
Abstract
Based on the current progress in earthquake modelling for prediction consulting articles of international research, with throwing a sprat to catch a whale, we show the roadmap of numerical earthquake modelling for prediction in China.Referring to the course of numerical weather prediction development, the observation data assimilation should have priority to form 4D subsurface "cloud map" of the continuous model earthquake data in the earthquake preparing process of energy accumulation in linear to nonlinear stages and energy release from meta-instable to unstable slipping stage.The key steps of the roadmap for numerical earthquake prediction techniques are the assimilation of observation data and the mathematical expression for the meta-instable stage of earthquake process.关键词
数值地震预测/观测资料"同化"/"模式"地震/亚失稳状态/地下四维"云图"Key words
numerical earthquake prediction/data assimilation in 4D/"model" earthquake/metainstability subsurface/4D "cloud map" of energy分类
天文与地球科学引用本文复制引用
黄辅琼,张晓东,曹则贤,李建平,李世海..关于推进数值地震预测的思考[J].国际地震动态,2017,(4):4-10,7.基金项目
国家自然科学基金(41274061)资助. （41274061）
