运筹与管理2017，Vol.26Issue(4)：177-184,8.DOI:10.12005/orms.2017.0098
基于系统动力学的我国产业结构演化动力系统仿真研究
Simulation Study on Dynamic System of Industrial Structure Evolution in China Based on System Dynamics
摘要
Abstract
This paper analyzes the constitution of the dynamic system of industrial structure evolution,based on summarizing and appraising objectively the research results of industrial structure evolution at home and abroad.Then,the dynamical system is sub-divided,and dynamic factors are refined according to the components of the dynamic system.We establish SD models of industrial structure evolution with the system dynamics to explore the causal correlation of dynamic factors and sub systems.It is showed that consumer spending has a positive effect on the industrial structure evolution which is maximal as a driving force.R&D spending in government policy has also played a positive role,while education expenditure has played a negative role in the industrial structure evolution from the simulation.Foreign direct investment generally plays a promoting role but also plays some negative effects.关键词
产业结构演化/动力系统/SD模型/仿真Key words
industrial structure evolution/dynamic system/SD model/simulation分类
管理科学引用本文复制引用
范德成,李昊,刘贇..基于系统动力学的我国产业结构演化动力系统仿真研究[J].运筹与管理,2017,26(4):177-184,8.基金项目
国家自然科学基金(71373059) （71373059）
教育部人文社科项目(13YJA630016) （13YJA630016）
