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信息影响条件下考虑出行异质性的路径选择模型

鲁光泉 喻饶 丁川 王云鹏 陈鹏

交通信息与安全2017,Vol.35Issue(1):62-70,9.
交通信息与安全2017,Vol.35Issue(1):62-70,9.DOI:10.3963/j.issn.1674-4861.2017.01.008

信息影响条件下考虑出行异质性的路径选择模型

A Route Choice Model of Heterogeneous Travelers Considering Influences of Real Time Traffic Information

鲁光泉 1喻饶 2丁川 1王云鹏 2陈鹏1

作者信息

  • 1. 北京航空航天大学车路协同与安全控制北京市重点实验室 北京 100191
  • 2. 北京航空航天大学大数据科学与脑机智能高精尖创新中心 北京 100191
  • 折叠

摘要

Abstract

Travelers′route choice behaviors are an important factor to predict the spatial and temporal distribution of traffic flow and maintain economical and efficient operation of traffic networks.In order to explore the differences of route choice behaviors of heterogeneous travelers,a route choice model based on cumulative prospect theory is developed in this study.The differences and similarities between general travelers′and commuters′route choice behaviors under two scenarios (with and without real time traffic information)are analyzed by defining reference points and a travel risk appe-tites computing method considering coefficients of time value.This computing method assures heterogeneous travelers have different risk appetites.The results show that traveler with larger reference point is conservative and tends to choose a route with longer travel time,while the others prefer taking risks.Furthermore,when alternatives can meet travelers′requirements and their reference points are big enough,general travelers prefer to neglect risks,for higher benefits.

关键词

城市交通/路径选择/累积前景理论/参考点/异质性/时间价值系数

Key words

urban traffic/route choice/cumulative prospect theory/reference point/heterogeneity/coefficients of time value

分类

交通工程

引用本文复制引用

鲁光泉,喻饶,丁川,王云鹏,陈鹏..信息影响条件下考虑出行异质性的路径选择模型[J].交通信息与安全,2017,35(1):62-70,9.

基金项目

国家自然科学基金项目(U1564212)资助 (U1564212)

交通信息与安全

OA北大核心CSCDCSTPCD

1674-4861

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