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基于AHP-Monte Carlo的高速公路边坡风险等级界定及应用

黄聪 杨仕教 罗辉

南华大学学报(自然科学版)2017,Vol.31Issue(1):107-112,6.
南华大学学报(自然科学版)2017,Vol.31Issue(1):107-112,6.

基于AHP-Monte Carlo的高速公路边坡风险等级界定及应用

Level Definition of Risk Rating and Applications in Expressway SideSlope by AHP-Monte Carlo

黄聪 1杨仕教 1罗辉2

作者信息

  • 1. 南华大学 核资源工程学院,湖南 衡阳 421001
  • 2. 长沙理工大学 交通运输工程学院,湖南 长沙 410076
  • 折叠

摘要

Abstract

In order to identify the risk in slope construction process quickly,an overall risk evaluation system based on the hierarchy analysis process (AHP)-Monte Carlo is established and slope risk level intervalsare defined.According to the major factors,which cause the slope instability during the construction process of an expressway in Xiangxi (an area in Hunan province),a risk source identification is carried out,the weight of risk source is determined by means of AHP and a slope construction safety evaluation model is built.Through investing slope risk feature parameters in 63 positions of the highway,statistics for the slope risk scores R are gathered and their distribution is analyzed,furthermore,the slope safety evaluation scores F are simulated using Monte Carlo and then the slope risk level determining intervals of the highway are established.And the evaluation results are verificated by engineering example data.

关键词

高速公路边坡/层次分析法/蒙特卡洛/风险评估体系/风险等级界定

Key words

highway slope/hierarchy analysis method/monte carlo/risk evaluation system/risk level determination

分类

交通工程

引用本文复制引用

黄聪,杨仕教,罗辉..基于AHP-Monte Carlo的高速公路边坡风险等级界定及应用[J].南华大学学报(自然科学版),2017,31(1):107-112,6.

南华大学学报(自然科学版)

1673-0062

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