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基于三支决策的高铁列车停站决策研究

潘金山 谢恺 徐长安

交通运输工程与信息学报2017,Vol.15Issue(2):21-28,8.
交通运输工程与信息学报2017,Vol.15Issue(2):21-28,8.DOI:10.3969/j.issn.1672-4747.2017.02.004

基于三支决策的高铁列车停站决策研究

Research on Stopping Decision of High-speed Trains Based on Three-way Decision

潘金山 1谢恺 2徐长安3

作者信息

  • 1. 西南交通大学,交通运输与物流学院,成都610031
  • 2. 西南交通大学,全国铁路列车运行图编制研发培训中心,成都610031
  • 3. 综合交通运输智能化国家地方联合工程实验室,成都610031
  • 折叠

摘要

Abstract

In order to adapt to the change of passenger flow volume and to improve the revenue of a railway enterprise,it is necessary to constantly adjust train working diagram or make adjustments in the existing train stopping patterns.According to the characteristics that decision of adding extra train stopping is restricted by multiple factors,and by introducing the three-way decision theory,atrain stopping decision was divided into three parts,namely,setting stops,further study and setting no stops.Based on Bayes decision procedure,the decision risk values of different stop settings were obtained,furthermore,the corresponding threshold was obtained,then,the decision results were finally determined according to the corresponding prior probability derived by the decision rule.Nanchang to Fujian railway line was chosen as an example to verify the feasibility of the new method.

关键词

增开列车/停站决策/三支决策/贝叶斯过程

Key words

Running extra trains/stopping decision/three-way decision/Bayes process

分类

交通工程

引用本文复制引用

潘金山,谢恺,徐长安..基于三支决策的高铁列车停站决策研究[J].交通运输工程与信息学报,2017,15(2):21-28,8.

基金项目

国家自然科学基金(61403317,61273242,60776826),中国铁路总公司科技研究计划(2015X008-B,2014X004-D). (61403317,61273242,60776826)

交通运输工程与信息学报

1672-4747

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