交通运输工程与信息学报2017,Vol.15Issue(2):21-28,8.DOI:10.3969/j.issn.1672-4747.2017.02.004
基于三支决策的高铁列车停站决策研究
Research on Stopping Decision of High-speed Trains Based on Three-way Decision
摘要
Abstract
In order to adapt to the change of passenger flow volume and to improve the revenue of a railway enterprise,it is necessary to constantly adjust train working diagram or make adjustments in the existing train stopping patterns.According to the characteristics that decision of adding extra train stopping is restricted by multiple factors,and by introducing the three-way decision theory,atrain stopping decision was divided into three parts,namely,setting stops,further study and setting no stops.Based on Bayes decision procedure,the decision risk values of different stop settings were obtained,furthermore,the corresponding threshold was obtained,then,the decision results were finally determined according to the corresponding prior probability derived by the decision rule.Nanchang to Fujian railway line was chosen as an example to verify the feasibility of the new method.关键词
增开列车/停站决策/三支决策/贝叶斯过程Key words
Running extra trains/stopping decision/three-way decision/Bayes process分类
交通工程引用本文复制引用
潘金山,谢恺,徐长安..基于三支决策的高铁列车停站决策研究[J].交通运输工程与信息学报,2017,15(2):21-28,8.基金项目
国家自然科学基金(61403317,61273242,60776826),中国铁路总公司科技研究计划(2015X008-B,2014X004-D). (61403317,61273242,60776826)