水资源保护2017，Vol.33Issue(3)：19-24,6.DOI:10.3880/j.issn.1004-6933.2017.03.005
浅水湖泊稳态转换模型PCLake研究进展
Progress in research of regime shift model PCLake for shallow lakes
摘要
Abstract
The PCLake model can comprehensively simulate biotic and abiotic processes in shallow lakes.In this paper, we summarize the development history, technical framework, applicability, and limitations of the model from three aspects, which include the estimation of nutrients threshold, simulation of the effects of climate change, and biomanipulation.In addition, we present an outlook of the model's future development in terms of the development of a more applicable and flexible model on a global scale, which can describe the characteristics of a wider range of lakes, the regime shift threshold determination and early-warning identification, the applications of sensitivity analysis and uncertainty analysis to the model, and the improvement of the model's accuracy, based on discussion of the model's advantages and problems in combination with hotspot issues in current research.关键词
浅水湖泊/稳态转换/阈值判定/PCLake模型/气候变化/生物操纵Key words
shallow lakes/regime shift/threshold determination/PCLake model/climate change/biomanipulation分类
天文与地球科学引用本文复制引用
张笑欣,于瑞宏,张宇瑾,李凌宇..浅水湖泊稳态转换模型PCLake研究进展[J].水资源保护,2017,33(3):19-24,6.基金项目
国家自然科学基金(51469018) （51469018）
内蒙古自然科学基金(2014MS0403) （2014MS0403）
水利部公益性行业科研专项(20150104) （20150104）
内蒙古科技厅项目(20140707,20130428) （20140707,20130428）
