中国人口·资源与环境2017，Vol.27Issue(5)：37-44,8.DOI:10.12062/cpre.20170342
社会选择理论在流域跨界水资源配置冲突决策问题中的应用
Application of social choice theory in decision-making issues on transboundary water resource allocation conflict in river basin
摘要
Abstract
This paper adopts social choice theory into the research on solving transboundary water resource allocation conflict.The aim lies in finding a unanimous water resources allocation scheme with satisfying fairness of water allocation from group decisions perspective.Even water resource allocation conflict looks superficially like an issue of resources,while it is substantively a typical decision-making problem.As one type nature resource with mixing characteristics and scarcity.The allocation of scare water resource in river basin is a distribution of water-involved benefit with multiple agents,while the key issue is how to coordinate the interest relationship among provinces in the same basin.The framework for solving transboundary water allocation conflict based on social choice theory is introduced in this paper.First,transboundary water resource allocation is treated as an allocation problem of scarce resource by using equity concept including proportional rule,adjusted proportional rule,constrained equal award rule and constrained equal loss rule.And the set of feasible allocation solutions is obtained.Second,social choice theory is applied to make group decision analysis on preferences aggregation of individual water stakeholders' preference by using plurality voting,borda count,hare quota,pairwise comparison matrix and fallback bargaining.The equity of group decision-making's results for water resource allocation conflict could be achieved by combining bankruptcy rules and preferences aggregation and the water resources allocation scheme is more easily accepted by conflict agents.Finally,an example of transboundary water resource allocation conflict in Zhanghe River Basin located in north China with water scarcity is adopted as a case study.And the application of different preferences aggregation methods in solving transboundary water resource allocation conflict is compared.The results show that the combination of social choice theory and bankruptcy rules has promising value in solving transboundary water resource allocation conflict.关键词
社会选择理论/水资源冲突/水量分配/破产准则/偏好聚合Key words
social choice theory/water resource conflict/water allocation/bankruptcy rules/preference aggregation分类
管理科学引用本文复制引用
孙冬营,王慧敏,王圣..社会选择理论在流域跨界水资源配置冲突决策问题中的应用[J].中国人口·资源与环境,2017,27(5):37-44,8.基金项目
国家自然科学基金重点项目“变化环境下水资源冲突管理研究”(批准号:71433003) （批准号:71433003）
国家自然科学基金青年项目“基于不同偏好类型下图模型的水资源冲突研究”(批准号:71603116) （批准号:71603116）
国家社会科学基金青年项目“多尺度耦合下水生态系统服务价值测度及政策路径选择研究”(批准号:14CGL030) （批准号:14CGL030）
教育部高等学校博士学科点专项科研基金项目“流域初始二维水权合作定价机制及建模研究”(批准号:20130094120022). （批准号:20130094120022）
