中国人口·资源与环境2017，Vol.27Issue(5)：72-83,12.DOI:10.12062/cpre.20170306
中国“十三五”时期省际碳减排目标的效率分配
Efficiency allocation of provincial carbon reduction target in China's Thirteenth Five Year Plan period
摘要
Abstract
Firstly,we established the ZSG-SBM model through introducing the'zero sum gains' game theory into the SBM model.Then,we set up 4 development scenarios for the China's economic system in Thirteenth Five Year Plan period through two dimensions as economic growth and energy consumption structure,and made the efficient allocation in provincial level of carbon reduction target by using the above ZSG-SBM model based on the China's overall carbon reduction constraint (18％) what set in Thirteenth Five Year Plan period.Finally,we analyzed the provincial development pattern of low-carbon economy by comparing the economic development status and the allocated result of carbon reduction target.Results show that:After the efficiency allocation of carbon emission by using the ZSG-SBM model,the input and output indicators of the 30 provinces realized the effective allocation,and the carbon emission efficiency reached the efficiency frontier.The administrative allocation scheme from government based on equity-oriented would cause efficiency loss in a certain degree,and the efficiency allocation scheme based on the ZSG-SBM model more met the long-term developed requirement of low-carbon economy.On the basis of carbon intensity constraint,the re-constraint of energy intensity would force the provinces to optimize their energy consumption structure,thereby enhancing the overall carbon emission efficiency of China.Allocation results of carbon reduction target in 16 province were greater than China's average standard (18％) in Thirteenth Five Year Plan period,all the provinces should choose appropriate development pattern of low-carbon economy according to the status of their resource endowment,economic level,industrial structure and energy consumption structure,and also on.关键词
ZSG-SBM模型/碳减排目标/效率分配/低碳经济Key words
ZSG-SBM model/carbon reduction target/efficiency allocation/low-carbon economy分类
资源环境引用本文复制引用
郭文,刘小峰,吴孝灵..中国“十三五”时期省际碳减排目标的效率分配[J].中国人口·资源与环境,2017,27(5):72-83,12.基金项目
国家自然科学基金面上项目“基于公众认知视角的邻避项目环境风险评估与治理研究”(批准号:71671080),“互联网环境下考虑内生信息的邻避集群行为演化机理研究”(批准号:71571099) （批准号:71671080）
国家自然科学青年基金项目“邻避行为的形成、演变及其冲突协调研究”(批准号:71301070) （批准号:71301070）
江苏省社会科学基金“群体性邻避行为的度量及其冲突协调研究”(批准号:13SHC014) （批准号:13SHC014）
全国统计科学研究项目“能源品阶视角下我国能源统计核算及其资产负债表编制”(批准号:2016LZ36). （批准号:2016LZ36）
