中国人口·资源与环境2017,Vol.27Issue(5):84-91,8.DOI:10.12062/cpre.20170401
考虑能源、环境影响的住宅建筑节能CGE模型构建
Study on energy-saving CGE-Model of residential buildings considering energy and environmental impact
摘要
Abstract
China promised to reduce carbon dioxide emissions to 60%-65% per unit of gross domestic product (GDP) in 2005,and get the top point of emissions as soon as possible.China's carbon dioxide emissions mainly came from the industrial,transportation and construction industry,and the construction industry's emission is about 40%,the largest proportion of all emissions.Residential building energy conservation is an important factor of smoothly achieving Chinese construction industry energy-saving emission reduction targets,and energy saving of residential buildings is an important area of energy conservation and emission reduction in China.Building a computable model to measure the impact of energy efficiency on the resource environment and economic development of residential buildings is an important basis for promoting energy conservation in residential buildings.Based on the standard CGE model,the authors give a detailed description of residential building production model,pollution discharge model,energy-saving residential building model,dynamic model and environmental welfare model.We try to extend the CGE standard model from four aspects:first,extending production factor into capital,labor and energy elements based on the standard CGE model,and decomposing energy factor bundle into clean energy and non-clean energy beam;second,elaborating the import and export partners into the import and export of different countries and regions.Third,through transferring building pollution emissions as a special department,merging the establishment of building pollution emission nodule into the CGE model,and incorporating the pollution elements into the effective function.Fourth,establishing the dynamic modules according to the capital growth model.CGE model of residential building energy saving is constructed by extending the energy saving of residential buildings as a variable to the standard CGE model.With this extension model,it can be used to study the inherent relationships between non-energy saving building constraints,external energy saving buildings and economic growth,and then can break the contradiction between non-energy saving building constraints,the rapid development of energy saving buildings and residential buildings.Base on the research results,the corresponding social accounting matrix (SAM) will be established,and empirically analyzed the parameters estimation and sensitivity test of various functions.关键词
能源/环境/住宅建筑/节能/CGE模型Key words
energy/environment/residential buildings/energy-saving/CGE model分类
管理科学引用本文复制引用
汪宏,陶小马,葛蕾..考虑能源、环境影响的住宅建筑节能CGE模型构建[J].中国人口·资源与环境,2017,27(5):84-91,8.基金项目
上海市科技发展基金课题“特大型城市低碳化的系统结构研究”(批准号:10692103000). (批准号:10692103000)