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基于影响因素分析和数据重构的备件需求预测

魏曦初 李文立 邱立鹏

计算机应用研究2017,Vol.34Issue(5):1419-1422,4.
计算机应用研究2017,Vol.34Issue(5):1419-1422,4.DOI:10.3969/j.issn.1001-3695.2017.05.032

基于影响因素分析和数据重构的备件需求预测

Spare parts demand prediction based on influence factors analysis and data reconstruct

魏曦初 1李文立 2邱立鹏1

作者信息

  • 1. 大连理工大学管理与经济学部,辽宁大连116023
  • 2. 大连大学机械工程学院,辽宁大连116622
  • 折叠

摘要

Abstract

Spare parts were typically demanded in an intermittent fashion,the two fundamental reasons of the predicted deviation were historical data confusion and demand cause unknown.This paper presented a new method of historical data reconstruction,and the influence factors of spare parts demand suitable for discrete manufacturing enterprise.In influence factors recognition,this paper proposed seven influence factors of spare parts from four aspects,own situation of spare parts,equipment operation,the operators quality and unexpected accident,then through the grey correlation analysis for factors screening.Finally,the prediction results are obtained by SVR,and through a series of data validation proves the feasibility and effectiveness of the whole method.

关键词

备件需求预测/数据重构/因素分析/灰色关联分析/支持向量回归

Key words

spare parts demand prediction/data reconstruction/factors analysis/grey correlation analysis/SVR

分类

信息技术与安全科学

引用本文复制引用

魏曦初,李文立,邱立鹏..基于影响因素分析和数据重构的备件需求预测[J].计算机应用研究,2017,34(5):1419-1422,4.

基金项目

国家自然科学基金资助项目(71431002) (71431002)

计算机应用研究

OA北大核心CSCDCSTPCD

1001-3695

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