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通用地球系统模式对亚洲夏季风降水的模拟能力评估

韩春凤 刘健 王志远

气象科学2017,Vol.37Issue(2):151-160,10.
气象科学2017,Vol.37Issue(2):151-160,10.DOI:10.3969/2016jms.0024

通用地球系统模式对亚洲夏季风降水的模拟能力评估

Evaluation of community earth system model in simulating Asian summer monsoon precipitation

韩春凤 1刘健 1王志远2

作者信息

  • 1. 南京师范大学 虚拟地理环境教育部重点实验室/江苏省地理环境演化国家重点实验室培育建设点/地理科学学院,南京210023
  • 2. 南京师范大学 江苏省大规模复杂系统数值模拟重点实验室/数学科学学院,南京210023
  • 折叠

摘要

Abstract

The performance of the Community Earth System Model(CESM,vesion1.0.3) in simulating the Asian summer monsoon precipitation was assessed by comparing with the observational/reanalysis datasets and the models outputs participating in the fifth phase of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP5).Results show that the CESM can simulate the climatology of Asian summer monsoon precipitation reasonably,but it simulated less precipitation in Southeast China and more one in western plateau region of China,which is similar to the results of other CMIP5 models.CESM can reproduce the seasonal variation of wet summer and dry winter,northward or southward migration of the rain belt,whose simulation biases are different regionally and seasonally.The EOF analysis results show that the CESM also has the ability to simulate the spatial-temporal variations of the summer monsoon precipitation and show better performance on revealing the relationship between the Asian summer monsoon precipitation and El Ni(n)o-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) than other CMIP5 models.Generally,the CESM is reliable to simulate Asian summer monsoon precipitation and is comparable to the four best models selected from those participate in CMIP5.

关键词

通用地球系统模式/亚洲季风/夏季降水/模式评估

Key words

Community earth system model/Asian monsoon/Summer precipitation/Model evaluation

引用本文复制引用

韩春凤,刘健,王志远..通用地球系统模式对亚洲夏季风降水的模拟能力评估[J].气象科学,2017,37(2):151-160,10.

基金项目

国家自然科学基金项目(41371209,41420104002,41501210,41302137) (41371209,41420104002,41501210,41302137)

高等学校博士学科点专项基金项目(20133207110015) (20133207110015)

江苏省高校自然科学研究重大项目(14KJA170002) (14KJA170002)

江苏省自然科学基金青年基金项目(BK20150977) (BK20150977)

江苏高校优势学科建设工程项目(164320H116) (164320H116)

气象科学

OA北大核心CSTPCD

1009-0827

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