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技术创新变化、资源耗竭与经济可持续发展最优路径——基于随机性内生增长理论模型的构建与推理

颉茂华 苏日娜 袁岚 杜凤莲

系统管理学报2017,Vol.26Issue(3):418-427,10.
系统管理学报2017,Vol.26Issue(3):418-427,10.

技术创新变化、资源耗竭与经济可持续发展最优路径——基于随机性内生增长理论模型的构建与推理

Changes in the Technological Innovation, the Depletion of Natural Resources and the Optimal Path of the Sustainable Economic Development——the Theoretical Model based on Random Endogenous Growth

颉茂华 1苏日娜 1袁岚 1杜凤莲1

作者信息

  • 1. 内蒙古大学经济管理学院,呼和浩特010021
  • 折叠

摘要

Abstract

With a random endogenous growth model based on resource consumption,and using the constant relative risk aversion (constant relative risk aversion,CRRA) utility function as an example,we solve the technological innovation randomness problem by calculating the mean and analyzing the randomness impact of technology innovation.We find that random changes in the technological innovation process often leads to a smaller investment in technology research and development because it leads to the decrease in the marginal rate of return.A sustainable economic growth path is described by CRS Douglas production function,together with CRRA utility function.

关键词

资源消耗/可持续发展/泊松随机性/均值保留展型

Key words

resource consumption/sustainable development/Poisson randomness/mean retention exhibition type

分类

管理科学

引用本文复制引用

颉茂华,苏日娜,袁岚,杜凤莲..技术创新变化、资源耗竭与经济可持续发展最优路径——基于随机性内生增长理论模型的构建与推理[J].系统管理学报,2017,26(3):418-427,10.

基金项目

国家自然科学基金资助项目(71262009,71163025,71463039) (71262009,71163025,71463039)

系统管理学报

OA北大核心CSCDCSSCICSTPCD

2097-4558

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