水生态学杂志2017，Vol.38Issue(1)：1-9,9.DOI:10.15928/j.1674-3075.2017.01.001
湖泊生态系统稳态转换驱动因子判定方法研究进展
Review on Driving Factor Detection Methods of Regime Shift in Lake Ecosystem
摘要
Abstract
The lake ecosystem would undergo regime shifts triggered by long-term human threats and short-term strong disturbance. The catastrophic shifts can cause sharp deterioration of lake ecosystem in a short period of time and defer the process of restoration. For scientific decision of lake management, it is therefore essential to reveal the mechanism of regime shifts and explore the driving factors. To date, experimental observation, statistical analy-sis and modeling are the primary methods used for detecting and identifying driving factor of regime shift. Experi-mental observation is limited for the lack of identification of lake ecosystem as a whole and it is difficult to identify driving factor exactly only with experimental observation. Statistical analysis is based on history data. However be-fore and after the regime shifts, the ecosystem structure and key processes will change dramatically, which would limit the detection or forewarning of regime shifts using statistical analysis. Model simulation, especially mechanism model, is considered to be an effective way to identify driving factor of regime shift. Here, some potential research focus was proposed based on the intensive literature review, including:( a) combination of statistical analysis and model;( b) coupling ecological model with hydrodynamic and water quality model.关键词
湖泊生态系统/稳态转换/驱动因子Key words
lake ecosystem/regime shift/driving factor分类
生物科学引用本文复制引用
赵磊,刘永,李玉照,朱翔,邹锐,宋迪..湖泊生态系统稳态转换驱动因子判定方法研究进展[J].水生态学杂志,2017,38(1):1-9,9.基金项目
国家自然科学基金(No. 41301599). （No. 41301599）
