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导弹武器系统研制费用估算方法

卞立新 罗兴柏 李金明 张伟

火力与指挥控制2017,Vol.42Issue(6):136-139,144,5.
火力与指挥控制2017,Vol.42Issue(6):136-139,144,5.DOI:10.3969/j.issn.1002-0640.2017.06.031

导弹武器系统研制费用估算方法

Method of Development Cost Forecasting for Missile Weapon System

卞立新 1罗兴柏 1李金明 1张伟2

作者信息

  • 1. 军械工程学院,石家庄 050003
  • 2. 中部战区陆军66285部队,河北 怀来 075411
  • 折叠

摘要

Abstract

Due to the mall samples size,and multicollinearity relationship of variables of the missile weapon system development cost. the missile cost estimation model is established based on the partial least regression. Cook distance is used to recognition of abnormal data,and the grey relation grade theory is used to elect independent variable that has highly degree of correlation for improve the accuracy and stability of model. Finally the partial least regression is used to fitting data for estimate development cost of missile weapon system. The results show that the model fit is fairly good,and the fit error is less than 8%.

关键词

研制费用/导弹武器系统/偏最小二乘法

Key words

development cost/missile armament system/partial least regression

分类

军事科技

引用本文复制引用

卞立新,罗兴柏,李金明,张伟..导弹武器系统研制费用估算方法[J].火力与指挥控制,2017,42(6):136-139,144,5.

火力与指挥控制

OA北大核心CSCDCSTPCD

1002-0640

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