华中师范大学学报(自然科学版)2017,Vol.51Issue(3):364-369,6.
北极LNG运输航线的交通分配问题研究
Research on the traffic assignment of the Arctic LNG transport routes
摘要
Abstract
With the continuous melting of Arctic sea ice and the gradual decay of onshore oil and gas reserves,more and more countries have embarked on the development of Arctic resources.Taking the LNG transport in the Arctic as the research object and considering the traffic congestion caused by excessive allocation of shipping channels along with congestion cost generated by BRP function,the traffic assignment model of LNG transportation route was established with the goal of minimum cost on congestion,traffic assignment and cost of risking.In the respect of the simultaneous allocation of total demand,the Frank-Wolfe algorithm is used to calculate the volume distribution of the shipping channel with Chinese government as main decision subject based on the shipping network composed of the Suez Canal,Cape of Good Hope and Northeast Arctic shipping line.Finally,a case study is conducted.The results show that the Arctic Northeast route plays an important role in the transport of resources in the Arctic,and will share about 36% of the total traffic in the future.In the context of lower oil prices and the high cost of the Suez Canal,the advantages of the Cape of Good Hope route began to show,which will share the total volume of about 28%.关键词
北极东北航线/LNG/交通分配/Frank-Wolfe算法Key words
the Northeast Sea Route/LNG/traffic assignment/Frank-Wolfe algorithm分类
交通工程引用本文复制引用
吴娟,梁承姬..北极LNG运输航线的交通分配问题研究[J].华中师范大学学报(自然科学版),2017,51(3):364-369,6.基金项目
国家自然科学基金资助项目(71471110,61540045) (71471110,61540045)
上海市科委科研计划项目(14DZ2280200) (14DZ2280200)
上海市科委科技创新行动计划项目(14170501500,16DZ1201402) (14170501500,16DZ1201402)
上海市重点学科资助项目(J50604) (J50604)
陕西省社会科学基金资助项目(2015D060) (2015D060)
上海海事大学研究生学术新人培育计划项目(YXR2016047). (YXR2016047)