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基于DPSIR和主成分分析的阜康市水资源承载力评价

王晓玮 邵景力 崔亚莉 赵辉 郭秀红 孙倩

南水北调与水利科技2017,Vol.15Issue(3):37-42,48,7.
南水北调与水利科技2017,Vol.15Issue(3):37-42,48,7.DOI:10.13476/j.cnki.nsbdqk.2017.03.007

基于DPSIR和主成分分析的阜康市水资源承载力评价

Evaluation of water resources carrying capacity of Fukang based on DPSIR and principal component analysis

王晓玮 1邵景力 1崔亚莉 1赵辉 2郭秀红 2孙倩1

作者信息

  • 1. 中国地质大学( 北京) 水资源与环境学院, 北京 100083
  • 2. 水利部 水资源管理中心, 北京 100053
  • 折叠

摘要

Abstract

Fukang city in Xinjiang province is faced with increasing scarcity of water resources and worsening ecology. Basedon DPSIR, we conducted factor analysis of water resources carrying capacit y ( WRRC) and built a basic indicator system. Principal component analysis was used to select the main indicators of WRRC and entropy weight analysis was used to determine their weights. A comprehensive evaluation model was built to calculate and evaluate the WRRC of Fukang. The results showed t hat the selected 4 main indicators can well represent the basic indicator system w ith an accumulative cont ribution rate of 92. 016% . The WRRC of Fukang fluctuated between 0. 498-0. 531 during 2006-2014. The rate of decline was slow and the fluctuation range decreased w ith time. Generally, the ut ilization has reached saturation. The increased use of agricultural water resulting from social and econom ic development was a main indicator of the decline in WRRC. But the trend of decline was strongly re-lieved by the expanding groundwater exploit ation and water resources management practices in Fukang.

关键词

阜康/水资源承载力/DPSIR/主成分分析/熵权法

Key words

Fukang/water resources carrying capacity/DPSIR/main component analysis/entropy method

分类

天文与地球科学

引用本文复制引用

王晓玮,邵景力,崔亚莉,赵辉,郭秀红,孙倩..基于DPSIR和主成分分析的阜康市水资源承载力评价[J].南水北调与水利科技,2017,15(3):37-42,48,7.

基金项目

国家自然科学基金青年基金(41502228) (41502228)

水利部行政事业性项目(1261521610010) National Natural Science Foundation of China(41502228) (1261521610010)

Adm inistrative Project of the Ministry of Water Resources of China (1261521610010) (1261521610010)

南水北调与水利科技

OA北大核心CSCDCSTPCD

2096-8086

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