中国人口·资源与环境2017，Vol.27Issue(6)：67-74,8.DOI:10.12062/cpre.20170336
基于正态云模型的区域矿产资源可持续力评价
Normal Cloud model-based approach for regional sustainable power assessment of mineral resources
摘要
Abstract
Mineral resources are the foundation of human survival and the social sustainable development.The study on sustainable development level,ability and development trend of regional mineral resources is not only a regional question but also should be a resources security issue.Thus,it has a great significance to China's resources carrying capacity and sustainable development.There is less research in regional sustainable power assessment of mineral resources,and at the same time,the existing evaluation methods of sustainable power of mineral resources cannot describe the fuzziness and randomness of evaluation indicators.In this paper,the mineral resources sustainable power evaluation index system that has been built included three aspects of resources,economy and environment (including population) and normal cloud model was introduced into regional mineral resources sustainable power evaluation.The evaluation model using normal cloud theory integrated with the improved AHP was established and this model was used to evaluate the sustainable power of mineral resources in Hunan Province.Normal cloud model integrated with improved AHP used in evaluation could help the indicators to maintain their original features and reduce the calculation amount significantly.The evaluation results showed that sustainable power of mineral resources status in Hunan Province was always at the middle level but it has increased from 2.600 0 to 3.070 8 from 2010 to 2015.This indicated that sustainable power of mineral resources has improved from 2010 to 2015.Evaluation value of the energy intensity per GDP,the proportion of mining product accounting for ten thousand yuan industrial product and the population density were less than 2.5,and it indicated that these three factors in Hunan were comparatively weak and some measures should be taken.The evaluation results were in consistent with site survey results which proved this method was applicable.This method integrated randomness and fuzziness and reduced the computation amount;besides,it gave a reliable result,and provided a reference for quantitative evaluation of sustainable power of mineral resources.关键词
矿产资源/可持续力/正态云/综合评价/区域Key words
mineral resources/sustainable power/normal cloud/comprehensive evaluation/region分类
管理科学引用本文复制引用
薛黎明,崔超群,李长明,朱琳龙,黄瑜,刘保康..基于正态云模型的区域矿产资源可持续力评价[J].中国人口·资源与环境,2017,27(6):67-74,8.基金项目
国家科技支撑计划课题“国土空间优化配置关键技术研究与示范”(批准号:2012BAB11B02). （批准号:2012BAB11B02）
