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本溪市枫红指数预报方法研究

吉奇 谭政华 孙雪 王焕毅

安徽农业科学2017,Vol.45Issue(19):195-197,3.
安徽农业科学2017,Vol.45Issue(19):195-197,3.

本溪市枫红指数预报方法研究

Study on the Forecasting Method of Maple Red Index in Benxi City

吉奇 1谭政华 1孙雪 1王焕毅1

作者信息

  • 1. 辽宁省本溪市气象局,辽宁本溪 117000
  • 折叠

摘要

Abstract

Using the maple red index of some scenic spots of Benxi City and temperature, precipitation and sunshine of unmanned automatic station during 2015-2016,the correlation analysis and regression analysis were used to analyze the change of maple red index, and the model of maple red index was established. The results showed that the influence of the meteorological factors on the color change of the maple leaf was the highest,the sunshine was the second, and the precipitation was smaller. In the temperature factor,the lowest temperature had the greatest influence and the maximum temperature had little effect.Using the maple red index prediction model,its back-generation fitting rate of the model was 68.8%,the correctness of the model was 63.5%, and the model had some predictability.

关键词

枫红指数/相关分析/回归预报/本溪市

Key words

Maple red index/Correlation analysis/Regression prediction/Benxi City

分类

农业科技

引用本文复制引用

吉奇,谭政华,孙雪,王焕毅..本溪市枫红指数预报方法研究[J].安徽农业科学,2017,45(19):195-197,3.

基金项目

2016年市县级气象局自筹资金科研课题(2016SXB04). (2016SXB04)

安徽农业科学

0517-6611

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