电测与仪表2017，Vol.54Issue(12)：1-6,6.
光伏发电短期预测研究进展综述
An overview of research progress of short-term photovoltaic forecasts
荆博 1谭伦农 1钱政 2裴岩 2王婧怡2
作者信息
- 1. 江苏大学 电气信息工程学院,江苏 镇江 212013
- 2. 北京航空航天大学 仪器科学与光电工程学院,北京 100191
- 折叠
摘要
Abstract
With the increasing of installed capacity of photovoltaic power plants,the short-term photovoltaic forecast is playing an important role in electricity planning and scheduling of power system.This paper reviews the recent progress on the research of short-term photovoltaic forecasts,and discusses the advantages and limitation of direct and indirect prediction methods respectively.The result shows that the accuracy of indirect prediction is better than that of direct prediction.Without the irradiance prediction modeling,the direct prediction is relatively simple,in which the widely-used hybrid forecast method is much more adaptive and fault-tolerant.In addition,this paper also concludes that weather change is a crucial factor that affects the accuracy of short-term photovoltaic forecasts,and proposes several solutions to reduce the impact of weather conditions on photovoltaic forecasts.关键词
光伏发电/光照幅度/短期预测/直接预测方法/间接预测方法Key words
photovoltaic/irradiance/shirt-term forecast/direct prediction method/indirect prediction method分类
信息技术与安全科学引用本文复制引用
荆博,谭伦农,钱政,裴岩,王婧怡..光伏发电短期预测研究进展综述[J].电测与仪表,2017,54(12):1-6,6.
