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一种新的厄尔尼诺指数

弓泓 王彰贵 赵传湖 冯立成

海洋预报2017,Vol.34Issue(3):17-25,9.
海洋预报2017,Vol.34Issue(3):17-25,9.DOI:10.11737/j.issn.1003-0239.2017.03.003

一种新的厄尔尼诺指数

A new index for El Ni(n)o

弓泓 1王彰贵 2赵传湖 2冯立成1

作者信息

  • 1. 中国海洋大学,山东青岛266100
  • 2. 国家海洋环境预报中心,北京100081
  • 折叠

摘要

Abstract

Using the monthly mean NOAA extended reconstructed sea surface temperature (ERSST) analyses data from 1950 to 2016,the commonly used E1 Ni(n)o index is calculated,and the monitoring abilities of several indices are examined.The results indicate that any single index cannot comprehensive monitor different types of E1 Ni(n)o events.The commonly used E1 Ni(n)o index has limitations on monitoring E1 Ni(n)o events.Therefore,this paper proposes a new E1 Ni(n)o index which not only can comprehensive monitor what has happened in the history at the different types of E1 Ni(n)o events,but also can reasonably define the strength of E1 Ni(n)o events.The new index can resolve the dispute in defining the intensity of El Ni(n)o events,and provide a new approach to monitoring of E1 Ni(n)o events.The study also analyses the impact of climate reference change on E1 Ni(n)o index for defining E1 Ni(n)o events,the results show that there will be fewer weak E1 Ni(n)o events with the increase of climate reference.

关键词

E1 Ni(n)o事件/指数/强度

Key words

E1Ni(n)o event/index/intensity

分类

海洋科学

引用本文复制引用

弓泓,王彰贵,赵传湖,冯立成..一种新的厄尔尼诺指数[J].海洋预报,2017,34(3):17-25,9.

基金项目

国家自然科学基金(41576029). (41576029)

海洋预报

OA北大核心CSTPCD

1003-0239

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