全球科技经济瞭望2017，Vol.32Issue(3)：46-53,8.DOI:10.3772/j.issn.1009-8623.2017.03.008
技术预测与技术预见:内涵、方法及实践
Technology Forecasting and Foresight:Concepts, Methods, and Practices
方伟 1曹学伟 1高晓巍1
作者信息
- 1. 中国科协创新战略研究院,北京 100863
- 折叠
摘要
Abstract
With an increasingly significant role that technology plays in economic and social development, many countries have started technology forecasting and foresight activities. This paper aims to address the concepts, methods and practices surrounding technology forecasting and foresight. First of all, comparisons are made between these two concepts in terms of conceptualization, characteristics, and elements, etc. The second part of this paper presents methods used in these two types of activities. The third part examines technology forecasting and foresight activities in US, UK, Japan and Russia. The last part addresses implications for technology forecasting and foresight activities conducted in China.关键词
技术预测/技术预见/内涵/方法/实践Key words
technology forecasting/technology foresight/concepts/methods/practices分类
社会科学引用本文复制引用
方伟,曹学伟,高晓巍..技术预测与技术预见:内涵、方法及实践[J].全球科技经济瞭望,2017,32(3):46-53,8.
