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Using the Inverse of Expected Error Variance to Determine Weights of Individual Ensemble Members: Application to Temperature Prediction

Xiaogong SUN Jinfang YIN Yan ZHAO

气象学报(英文版)2017,Vol.31Issue(3):502-513,12.
气象学报(英文版)2017,Vol.31Issue(3):502-513,12.DOI:10.1007/s13351-017-6047-0

Using the Inverse of Expected Error Variance to Determine Weights of Individual Ensemble Members: Application to Temperature Prediction

Using the Inverse of Expected Error Variance to Determine Weights of Individual Ensemble Members: Application to Temperature Prediction

Xiaogong SUN 1Jinfang YIN 1Yan ZHAO1

作者信息

  • 1. State Key Laboratory of Severe Weather, Chinese Academy of Meteorological Sciences, Beijing 100081
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摘要

关键词

ensemble forecast/variable weighted ensemble mean/simple equally weighted ensemble mean/predic-tion accuracy

Key words

ensemble forecast/variable weighted ensemble mean/simple equally weighted ensemble mean/predic-tion accuracy

引用本文复制引用

Xiaogong SUN,Jinfang YIN,Yan ZHAO..Using the Inverse of Expected Error Variance to Determine Weights of Individual Ensemble Members: Application to Temperature Prediction[J].气象学报(英文版),2017,31(3):502-513,12.

基金项目

Supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China (41405006 and 91224004), Meteorological Key Technology Integra-tion and Application Program (CMAGJ2015M85), National Key Technology Research and Development Program (2015BAK10B03), China Meteorological Administration Special Public Welfare Research Fund (GYHY201506002), and Basic Research Fund of the Chinese Academy of Meteorological Sciences (2014R016 and 2015Z003). (41405006 and 91224004)

气象学报(英文版)

0894-0525

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