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文水县气候变化对玉米产量的影响

常耀杰 王文忠 冯宝 张玉萍

山西农业大学学报(自然科学版)2017,Vol.37Issue(5):312-319,8.
山西农业大学学报(自然科学版)2017,Vol.37Issue(5):312-319,8.

文水县气候变化对玉米产量的影响

Effects of climate change on corn yield in Wenshui county

常耀杰 1王文忠 1冯宝 2张玉萍3

作者信息

  • 1. 太原师范学院地理科学学院,山西榆次030619
  • 2. 桂林航天工业学院自动化系,广西桂林541004
  • 3. 忻州师范学院地理系,山西忻州034000
  • 折叠

摘要

Abstract

[Objective] To explore the influence of climatic factors on the yield of corn and predict the yield of corn under the circumstance of future climate change.[Method] According to the climate data of monthly temperature,precipitation,evaporation,sunshine duration and the yield data of corn from 1998 to 2014,corn yield under long time series climate change in Wenshui county was analyzed by using mathematical statistics,regression analysis,Principal Component Analysis and Thornthwaite Memoriae model.[Results] During the last 17 years,the temperature and sunshine duration in corn growing period in Wenshui county showed fluctuational trend of descending,while the precipitation and evaporation rate showed an upward trend.The yield and climate yield of corn in the same period kept increasing.[Conclusion] The rise of temperature was inconducive to the increase of the yield of corn;much precipitation was favorable to the production of corn there were three components that affected the yield of corn in Wenshui County:temperature,moisture and extreme climate,The study showed that:"warm and wet" and "cold and wet" climate type were conducive to the increase of the yield of corn,"warm and dry" and "cold and dry" climate type were unfavorable to the yield of winter corn.

关键词

气候变化/文水/玉米/产量

Key words

Climate change/ Wenshui/ Corn/ Yield

分类

天文与地球科学

引用本文复制引用

常耀杰,王文忠,冯宝,张玉萍..文水县气候变化对玉米产量的影响[J].山西农业大学学报(自然科学版),2017,37(5):312-319,8.

基金项目

广西省自然科学基金(2016GXNSFBA380160) (2016GXNSFBA380160)

广西高校重点科学研究项目(KY2015ZD143) (KY2015ZD143)

太原师范学院研究生教育创新项目(SYYJSJC-1601) (SYYJSJC-1601)

山西农业大学学报(自然科学版)

OA北大核心CSTPCD

1671-8151

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