电力需求侧管理2017，Vol.19Issue(4)：11-17,7.DOI:10.3969/j.issn.1009-1831.2017.04.003
基于羊群效应的需求侧管理示范项目信息最优发布策略
Optimal release strategy of demand side management demonstration project information based on herd behavior
摘要
Abstract
When DSM technology is porpularing, the develop?ment of the demonstration projects and the release of relevant de?monstrative information can increase the users'acquaintance for the technology and provide information to decide wheather to accept and participate in the technology. Firstly, individual power comsumer's behavior was studied by herd behavior. Based on Bayes rule, the re?lationship between the individual followingup behavior and the dem?onstration information was explained. The consumers'decision mak?ing process in accrodance with the demonstration information was simulated, and the relationship between investors'following?up be?haviors and the level of detail of the demonstration information was analyzed. Then aiming at user group, the influence of the content of demonstration information on the degree of following?up behavior was proposed, which was utilized to establish optimal release strate?gy of demonstration information to ensure the best response of the us?er group. At last, simulation results showed that the effect of demon?stration information was indeed affected by its content, which proved that the model was correct and effective.关键词
羊群效应/需求侧管理/示范信息/最优策略Key words
herd behaviour/demand side management/dem⁃onstration information/optimization strategy分类
管理科学引用本文复制引用
曹昉,孙畅,王科,孙宇军..基于羊群效应的需求侧管理示范项目信息最优发布策略[J].电力需求侧管理,2017,19(4):11-17,7.基金项目
南方电网科学研究院基础性前瞻性项目:基于电力市场环境的需求响应基础理论体系与方法(SEPRI-K154003) （SEPRI-K154003）
