农业现代化研究2017，Vol.38Issue(4)：696-704,9.DOI:10.13872/j.1000-0275.2017.0057
种植户"粮改豆"意愿及影响因素的实证分析 ——基于黑龙江和内蒙古两地微观样本
An empirical analysis on households' willingness and its influencing factors of grain to soybean production conversion: A case study of Heilongjiang and Inner Mongolia
摘要
Abstract
China's soybean acreage has been declining sharply in recent years and households' planting enthusiasm was low due to various factors. At the same time, continuously increasing soybean imports led to "unwilling to grow","difficult to sell", and "low return" for soybean growers. In 2004, the central Government created and implemented the target price subsidy policy for soybeans, aiming to promote the supply side structural reform of agriculture. Based on a survey data in Heilongjiang and Inner Mongolia, this paper examined households' willingness of "grain to soybean production conversion" and identified the possible influencing factors by Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP) method. Results show that the proportion of the surveyed households willing to plant soybeans was low in 2014, only 18.3%, and the proportion of the surveyed households unwilling to plant soybeans reached 45.1%. The situation changed in 2016: the proportion of the surveyed households willing to plant soybeans increased to 25.1%, and the proportion of the surveyed households unwilling to plant soybeans decreased to 34.3%. This research also identified five most important influencing factors affecting households' willingness of soybean planting, including yield, price, marketing, soybeans varieties, and the target price subsidy policy on soybeans. Therefore, to increase the enthusiasm of soybean producers, this paper suggests: to increase R&D investment on soybean varieties with high yield and good quality, to optimize the environment of soybean production and trade to realize low cost and high benefit, to regulate soybean planting behaviors by market discipline and the formulation, and to improve the implementation of the target price subsidy policy on soybeans.关键词
大豆种植/粮改豆/农户种植意愿/农户行为/影响因素Key words
soybean planting/grain to soybean production conversion/willingness of soybean planting/households' soybean planting behaviors/influencing factors分类
管理科学引用本文复制引用
王颜齐,孟杰,毕欣宁..种植户"粮改豆"意愿及影响因素的实证分析 ——基于黑龙江和内蒙古两地微观样本[J].农业现代化研究,2017,38(4):696-704,9.基金项目
国家社会科学基金青年项目(16CJY053) （16CJY053）
教育部人文社会科学基金青年项目(14YJC790125) （14YJC790125）
黑龙江省高校青年创新人才培养计划项目(UNPYSCT-2015013). National Social Science Foundation of China (16CJY053) （UNPYSCT-2015013）
Philosophy and Social Science Project of National Department of Education (14YJC790125) （14YJC790125）
University Nursing Program for Young Scholars with Creative Talents in Heilongjiang Province (UNPYSCT-2015013). （UNPYSCT-2015013）
