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1.5℃温控目标下地球工程问题剖析和应对政策建议

陈迎 辛源

气候变化研究进展2017,Vol.13Issue(4):337-345,9.
气候变化研究进展2017,Vol.13Issue(4):337-345,9.DOI:10.12006/j.issn.1673-1719.2017.013

1.5℃温控目标下地球工程问题剖析和应对政策建议

Implications of Geoengineering Under 1.5℃ Target:Analysis and Policy Recommendations

陈迎 1辛源2

作者信息

  • 1. 中国社会科学院城市发展与环境研究所,北京 100028
  • 2. 中国社会科学院研究生院,北京 102488
  • 折叠

摘要

Abstract

The Paris Agreement introduced a 1.5℃ target to control global temperature rising, but it didn't make clear arrangements for feasible implementation pathways. Achieving 1.5 ℃ target sets up higher requirements on global emission reductions. Adding up NDCs (Nationally Determined Contributions) of all Parties is far from 1.5℃target, while conventional emission reduction technologies and policies will also be difficult to fulfill the task. In this context, the discussion about geoengineering is heating up in the international area. The Paris Agreement in fact has already included afforestation, carbon capture, utilization and storage (CCS/CCUS), negative emission technologies such as bio-energy with CCS (BECCS), and all of these are carbon dioxide removal (CDR) technologies that belong to geoengineering. In addition, solar radiation management (SRM) which is more controversial also attracts more attentions in recent years. Geoengineering as an unconventional technical option is definately necessary in a series of researches and discussions on the impacts assessment, technical options, ethics, international governance, etc. under 1.5 ℃ target. On the basis of analyzing and discussing above-mentioned issues, this paper proposes some policy suggestions, such as enhancing scientific issues and governance problems research in geoengineering field for China.

关键词

《巴黎协定》/1.5℃目标/地球工程

Key words

Paris Agreement/1.5℃ target/geoengineering

引用本文复制引用

陈迎,辛源..1.5℃温控目标下地球工程问题剖析和应对政策建议[J].气候变化研究进展,2017,13(4):337-345,9.

基金项目

国家973项目"地球工程的综合影响评价和国际治理研究"课题(2015CB953603) (2015CB953603)

气候变化研究进展

OA北大核心CSCDCSTPCD

1673-1719

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